Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bets for WNBA Semifinals Game 4

The Minnesota Lynx face a must-win Game 4 in their playoff series against the Phoenix Mercury, with a loss ending their season after a physical Game 3 defeat in Phoenix. During that game, they lost superstar Napheesa Collier to an ankle injury, significantly impacting their lineup.

Further complicating matters, head coach Cheryl Reeve has been suspended for criticizing officiating in the previous loss and will not coach in Game 4, where the Lynx are 5.5-point underdogs on the road. The team has a strong home record of 20-2 in the regular season, giving them hope to force a Game 5 and return to the Finals, but they have struggled without Collier, posting a 7-4 record in the 11 games she missed in 2025.

The Mercury have been surging since late in the regular season, posing a challenge for the Lynx. Betting odds and predictions highlight increased usage for players like Williams, who has taken at least 16 shots in recent games and averaged higher scoring in Collier's absence, with recommendations to take the UNDER in Game 4 due to the Lynx's difficulties without Collier.