Should I Draft Josh Allen? Fantasy Outlook for the Bills QB in 2025

Josh Allen has been the top fantasy football quarterback over the past five seasons, known for his elite and consistent performance. Despite a slight annual decline in fantasy points per game—averaging 24.1 last season—he remains highly reliable, having been the overall QB1 in three of the last five years. His dual-threat ability as both a passer and rusher, including 27 rushing touchdowns in the past two seasons, gives him the highest floor and ceiling in fantasy.

While Allen's rushing efficiency appears lower due to short touchdowns and scheme factors, he is still an effective runner. He accounted for 40 total touchdowns last season and had a historic two-game stretch in Weeks 14 and 15, scoring 93.2 fantasy points. His consistency is underscored by 12 games with 20+ fantasy points, including a streak from Week 6 to 15.

The main concern surrounding Allen is his wide receiver group, following the loss of Stefon Diggs. However, the Bills' receiving corps has improved with Khalil Shakir emerging as a reliable option and the addition of Joshua Palmer in free agency, who is viewed as an upgrade over last year's non-Shakir receivers.

Allen is widely regarded as the best fantasy quarterback, but his Average Draft Position (ADP) of 21st overall reflects the strategic consideration of opportunity cost and positional value, indicating he should not be taken in the first round despite his elite status.