Why Breece Hall’s July Fantasy Football Surge Could Spark a Breakout 2025 Season

Fantasy football managers are increasingly targeting New York Jets running back Breece Hall as the 2025 season approaches, evidenced by a significant 59.1% pickup rate in July.

While Hall's raw fantasy points per game reached a career low in 2024, deeper analysis reveals positive trends. His rush gain rate per carry improved compared to 2023, indicating greater efficiency. More notably, his receiving game versatility showed marked enhancement, with a better points per target metric, solidifying his value as a dual-threat weapon, especially in PPR formats which value receptions.

Hall also displayed a shift towards more reliable production in 2024. His "boom-bust" percentage moved favorably, resulting in fewer extremely high-scoring games but a higher and more consistent floor, reducing the weekly volatility that frustrated fantasy managers previously. This increased consistency is a key driver behind his rising acquisition rate.

The article draws a parallel to the 2022 Chicago Bears to illustrate Hall's potential upside. That year, quarterback Justin Fields' significant rushing threat (1,143 yards) forced defenses to adjust, often using a spy on Fields and lightening the defensive front. This created favorable conditions for Bears running backs, who averaged 4.5 yards per carry and ranked seventh in yards after contact.

With Justin Fields now expected to start at quarterback for the Jets in 2025, a similar dynamic is anticipated. Fields' mobility is expected to command defensive attention, likely leading to lighter defensive boxes and more space for Breece Hall. Hall's existing burst and versatility position him to capitalize significantly on these opportunities for explosive plays.