Popular analytics model projects Colorado football win total for 2025 season

Projection models for the 2025 college football season indicate the Colorado Buffaloes are expected to win around 6 games. Analytics expert Parker Fleming's model projects Colorado at 6.1 wins, aligning with most predictions and ESPN's FPI projection of 6.5 wins.

Colorado's projected win total ranks them 11th in the Big 12 conference, behind teams like Arizona State (8.5), Kansas State (8.3), Utah (7.7), Baylor (7.5), Iowa State (7.4), Kansas (6.9), BYU (6.9), Cincinnati (6.6), Houston (6.6), and TCU (6.3). The Buffaloes face seven of these ten teams ahead of them, highlighting the difficulty of their 2025 schedule.

The Buffaloes Wire site predicts a 6-6 record for Colorado, with projected wins against Georgia Tech, Delaware, Houston, Wyoming, Iowa State, and Arizona. Projected losses are against BYU, TCU, Utah, West Virginia, Arizona State, and Kansas State.

While Colorado appears to have six solid opportunities for wins, making bowl eligibility seem like the minimum expectation, the presence of numerous top opponents makes achieving 7-9 wins a significant challenge.

Colorado, led by Deion Sanders, will begin their 2025 season at home against Georgia Tech on August 29.