Chet Holmgren 2025-26 Fantasy Outlook: Health is the Main Blockade against a Elite Season?

The Oklahoma City Thunder won the championship in the 2024-25 season, establishing themselves as the best team in the association. Despite Chet Holmgren missing a significant portion of the season due to a fractured hip, he remained a productive player in fantasy basketball, with his defensive impact being a key selling point. He served as the third scoring option for the Thunder behind SGA and Jalen Williams, contributing consistently when available.

In the 2024-25 season, Holmgren played only 32 games, averaging 15 points, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 2.2 blocks, and 1.4 three-pointers made per game. His limited appearances were due to the early-season hip injury, and his minutes decreased from 29.4 to 27.4 per game, partly because the Thunder's dominance, led by MVP SGA, reduced the need for extended playing time.

Looking ahead to the 2025-26 season, ESPN projects Holmgren to average 17.0 points, 8.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 2.5 blocks, and 1.6 three-pointers made per game on 49.9% shooting from the field. His minutes are expected to increase to 31.0 per game, and if he stays healthy for around 68 games, it would significantly boost his fantasy value, especially considering his injury history, having played only 32 out of a possible 164 games in parts of his career.

Holmgren's fantasy production for 2025-26 appears promising if he maintains better health, but another injury could be detrimental to his owners and potentially benefit waiver options like Isiash Hartenstein or increase the value of Jalen Williams. The outcome will depend on his ability to stay on the court, making health a critical factor in his fantasy outlook.