The Caleb Williams Crossroads: Why Fantasy Managers Are Cooling on the Bears QB

Fantasy football managers' enthusiasm for Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has diminished throughout the summer as they reassess his rookie struggles and uncertain prospects. Early optimism about a Year 2 breakout has waned, reflected in a sharp decline in his acquisition rate in user trades—dropping from 62.4% in May to 46.1% recently.

Williams' rookie season proved disappointing despite favorable expectations, averaging only 15.3 fantasy points per game. While he showcased dual-threat potential—becoming just the fourth rookie in 20 years with 3,500+ passing yards (3,541) and 450+ rushing yards (489)—his efficiency metrics were concerning. He ranked 35th in EPA (-69.4) and had a 59.6 passer rating on deep throws, while absorbing a league-high 68 sacks and 260 pressures.

Coaching instability significantly hampered his development. Offensive coordinator Shane Waldron was fired after nine games amid reported friction with Williams, and head coach Matt Eberflus was dismissed in November. These midseason changes compounded challenges from a struggling offensive line.

Despite these issues, Williams demonstrated notable improvement late in the season. His completion rate under pressure rose to 47.7% (from 39% early on), and he threw just one interception in his final seven games. He also flashed elite potential with five 20+ fantasy-point performances, including a 26.9-point game in Week 12 and a four-touchdown showing in Week 6. From Week 11 onward, he ranked as a top-10 fantasy QB, throwing 11 touchdowns against one interception.

Encouraging traits included exceptional ball security (1.1% interception rate on 562 attempts) and late-season growth, suggesting his struggles were situational rather than talent-based. This progression offers hope that a breakout remains possible despite the rocky start.